TY - JOUR
T1 - Evaluation of the economic impact of classical and African swine fever epidemics using OutCosT, a new spreadsheet-based tool
AU - Casal, Jordi
AU - Tago, Damián
AU - Pineda, Pilar
AU - Tabakovski, Blagojcho
AU - Santos, Imelda
AU - Benigno, Carolyn
AU - Huynh, Tran
AU - Ciaravino, Giovanna
AU - Beltran-Alcrudo, Daniel
N1 - Funding Information:
The authors acknowledge the national agencies of Colombia, North Macedonia, the Philippines and Vietnam for providing the outbreak and cost data. Acknowledgements also go to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), which financed the study through the Technical Cooperation Project (TCP/RER/3704) on ‘African swine fever emergency preparedness in the Balkans’. United States Agency for International Development (USAID) grant (720FDA19IO00092).
Publisher Copyright:
© 2022 The Authors. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases published by Wiley-VCH GmbH.
PY - 2022/9
Y1 - 2022/9
N2 - African swine fever (ASF) and classical swine fever (CSF) are two major transboundary animal diseases of swine with important socioeconomic consequences at farm, subnational and national level. The objective of this study was to evaluate the direct cost of outbreaks and their control at country/regional level in four countries: namely CSF in Colombia in 2015–2016, the retrospective cost of ASF in the Philippines in 2019 and in a province of Vietnam in 2020 and a hypothetical ASF scenario in one region in North Macedonia, using the newly developed Outbreak Costing Tool (OutCosT). The tool calculates the costs of 106 different items, broken down by up to four types of farms, and by who assumes the cost (whether veterinary services, farmers or other stakeholders). The total cost of CSF in Colombia was US$ 3.8 million, of which 88% represented the cost of the vaccination campaign. For ASF, there were wide differences between countries: US$ 8,26,911 in Lao Cai (Vietnam), US$ 33,19,666 in North Macedonia and over US$ 58 million in the Philippines. While in the Philippines and Vietnam, 96–98% of the cost occurred in the affected farms, the highest expenditure in North Macedonia scenario was the movement control of the neighbouring and at-risk farms (77%). These important differences between countries depend on the spread of the disease, but also on the production systems affected and the measures applied. Apart from the financial cost, these diseases have other negative impacts, especially in the livelihoods of smallholder farms. The OutCosT tool also allows users to evaluate qualitatively other important aspects related to the epidemics, such as the impact on human health, the environment, animal welfare, socioeconomic vulnerability, trading and political response. OutCosT, which is a FAO corporate tool (available online at: https://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/faoweb/animal-health/OutCosT_PIG.xlsx), can be an important tool to support country authorities to rapidly respond to a swine disease outbreak by estimating the associated costs and for advocacy purposes to mobilize resources at national or international levels.
AB - African swine fever (ASF) and classical swine fever (CSF) are two major transboundary animal diseases of swine with important socioeconomic consequences at farm, subnational and national level. The objective of this study was to evaluate the direct cost of outbreaks and their control at country/regional level in four countries: namely CSF in Colombia in 2015–2016, the retrospective cost of ASF in the Philippines in 2019 and in a province of Vietnam in 2020 and a hypothetical ASF scenario in one region in North Macedonia, using the newly developed Outbreak Costing Tool (OutCosT). The tool calculates the costs of 106 different items, broken down by up to four types of farms, and by who assumes the cost (whether veterinary services, farmers or other stakeholders). The total cost of CSF in Colombia was US$ 3.8 million, of which 88% represented the cost of the vaccination campaign. For ASF, there were wide differences between countries: US$ 8,26,911 in Lao Cai (Vietnam), US$ 33,19,666 in North Macedonia and over US$ 58 million in the Philippines. While in the Philippines and Vietnam, 96–98% of the cost occurred in the affected farms, the highest expenditure in North Macedonia scenario was the movement control of the neighbouring and at-risk farms (77%). These important differences between countries depend on the spread of the disease, but also on the production systems affected and the measures applied. Apart from the financial cost, these diseases have other negative impacts, especially in the livelihoods of smallholder farms. The OutCosT tool also allows users to evaluate qualitatively other important aspects related to the epidemics, such as the impact on human health, the environment, animal welfare, socioeconomic vulnerability, trading and political response. OutCosT, which is a FAO corporate tool (available online at: https://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/faoweb/animal-health/OutCosT_PIG.xlsx), can be an important tool to support country authorities to rapidly respond to a swine disease outbreak by estimating the associated costs and for advocacy purposes to mobilize resources at national or international levels.
KW - African swine fever
KW - classical swine fever
KW - Colombia
KW - economic cost
KW - North Macedonia
KW - the Philippines
KW - tool
KW - Vietnam
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85130434232&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1111/tbed.14590
DO - 10.1111/tbed.14590
M3 - Article
C2 - 35526144
AN - SCOPUS:85130434232
SN - 1865-1674
VL - 69
SP - e2474-e2484
JO - Transboundary and emerging diseases
JF - Transboundary and emerging diseases
IS - 5
ER -