Transformative targets in sustainability policy making: The case of the 30% EU mitigation goal

J. David Tàbara, Diana Mangalagiu, Roland Kupers, Carlo C. Jaeger, Antoine Mandel, Leonidas Paroussos

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

8 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper explores to what extent moving towards the 30% GHG emission reductions by 2020 with respect to 1990 in the EU can be considered a transformative target. To do so, we first define the concept of transformative targets from a complex systems perspective and show a novel approach and original results using an extended application of the GEM-E3 model. Traditional macroeconomic models cannot easily handle key synergetic system effects derived from green growth and sustainability policies, and thus require additional features. We analyse the role of semi-endogenous growth driven by learning-by-doing and low-carbon investment expectations following a long-term transformative trajectory. © 2013 Copyright Taylor and Francis Group, LLC.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1180-1191
JournalJournal of Environmental Planning and Management
Volume56
Issue number8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2013

Keywords

  • EU climate policy
  • macroeconomic modelling
  • sustainability
  • system attractors

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