Risk of introduction of lumpy skin disease in France by the import of cattle

Étoré Florence, Bertagnoli Stéphane, Casal Jordi, Caufour Philippe, De Clercq Kris, Ganière Jean-Pierre, Hautefeuille Claire, Jacquiet Philippe, Meyer Gilles, Saegerman Claude

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)


© 2018 L'Association pour l'Etude de l'Epidemiologie des Maladies Animales. All Rights Reserved. In order to estimate the threat for France, a quantitative import risk assessment (QIRA) model was developed to assess the risk of Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD) introduction in France by imports of cattle. Based on available information and using a stochastic model, the probability of a first outbreak of LSD in France following the import of batches of infected live cattle was estimated to be between 4 × 10 -5 and 3.3 × 10 - 3 (in 95% of cases). This model can easily be adapted to different countries and to other diseases.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)119-130
JournalEpidemiologie et Sante Animale
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018


  • Cattle
  • France
  • Lumpy skin disease
  • Quantitative import risk assessment (QIRA)
  • Risk analysis
  • Ruminants
  • Sensitivity analysis
  • Stochastic modelling


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