TY - JOUR
T1 - On the need to compensate the compensating variation in CGE modeling
AU - Guerra, Ana Isabel
AU - Sancho, Ferran
PY - 2018/7/3
Y1 - 2018/7/3
N2 - © 2017, © 2017 The International Input–Output Association. The message of this research is that in the standard calibrated setting of Computational General Equilibrium (CGE) models, the welfare measures typically used to compare benchmark with counterfactuals are numéraire dependent. This evaluation bias affects the compensating variation and the Konüs index of cost of living. We show that the equivalent variation is neutral regarding the choice of value units in calibrated models but would be affected as well in uncalibrated CGE models. We illustrate with a simple example and propose an even simpler theoretical solution to overcome these biases; all that is required to have correct welfare estimates is to compensate normalizing with a suitable price index. This type of correction is necessary to overcome the sometimes blind implementation of welfare measures in numerical general equilibrium analysis. We show that the induced quantitative errors may be substantial providing biased welfare estimates and misleading results.
AB - © 2017, © 2017 The International Input–Output Association. The message of this research is that in the standard calibrated setting of Computational General Equilibrium (CGE) models, the welfare measures typically used to compare benchmark with counterfactuals are numéraire dependent. This evaluation bias affects the compensating variation and the Konüs index of cost of living. We show that the equivalent variation is neutral regarding the choice of value units in calibrated models but would be affected as well in uncalibrated CGE models. We illustrate with a simple example and propose an even simpler theoretical solution to overcome these biases; all that is required to have correct welfare estimates is to compensate normalizing with a suitable price index. This type of correction is necessary to overcome the sometimes blind implementation of welfare measures in numerical general equilibrium analysis. We show that the induced quantitative errors may be substantial providing biased welfare estimates and misleading results.
KW - Compensating variation
KW - computable general equilibrium
KW - equivalent variation
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85029461042
U2 - 10.1080/09535314.2017.1372371
DO - 10.1080/09535314.2017.1372371
M3 - Article
SN - 0953-5314
VL - 30
SP - 313
EP - 322
JO - Economic Systems Research
JF - Economic Systems Research
ER -