Dynamical evolution of discrete epidemic models

Vicenç Méndez, Joaquim Fort

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Resum

The dynamical evolution of a deterministic epidemic model is studied. We model the system by taking into account an intermediate class of population, say infected, which after a latency period enter into the infectious class. A mortality rate induced by the disease is also considered. The system evolves towards a final state which may develop a catastrophic epidemic if small outbreaks of the disease emerge. The final size, the threshold and the severity of the epidemic are also analyzed and calculated for this model.

Idioma originalAnglès
Pàgines (de-a)309-317
Nombre de pàgines9
RevistaPhysica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Volum284
Número1-4
DOIs
Estat de la publicacióPublicada - 1 de set. 2000

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